大眾什麼時候才會驚覺到自己的財富             NEW9.gif

一直被政府所發行的紙鈔慢慢侵蝕著。

唯有全球民眾一致醒來,

開始要求在各國期貨交易所中

採用實體黃金白銀交割,

那麼將會免除許多中間人的費用。

 

黃金分析

黃金真正的價值

每盎司$52831美元?

GOLD ANALYSIS

The real value of gold - $52,831 an ounce?

如果比照1971年取消金本位制時

美元發行總量、美國所擁有的黃金、

以及每盎司$35美元的金價來作為標準,

那麼現在美國所庫存的黃金

若要回歸當時的價值(代表性),

每盎司金價需要重新訂定為$52831美元

才能平衡兩者。

In terms of US dollar circulation and US gold holdings, to make the dollar convertible into gold would mean a gold price in excess of $50,000 an ounce.

Author: Lawrence Williams
Posted:  Thursday , 22 Jul 2010

LONDON - 

In a rather convoluted article on the real value of gold GATA's Adrian Douglas, writing in www.marketforceanalysis.com has calculated that in terms of U.S. dollar convertibility, the real price of gold now stands at $52,381 an ounce!

In producing this figure Douglas goes back to President Nixon's ‘temporary' removal of the convertibility of the dollar for gold in 1971, when the U.S. money supply was valued at $35 an ounce, to the current money supply/price situation.

Today, Douglas avers, with $13.789 trillion in circulation and a gold price of around $1200 an ounce, if one wanted to return to a gold-backed dollar, the U.S. government would need to hold 11.5 billion ounces - it actually admits to only having 261.5 million ounces (although some believe it may in reality hold even less).  Thus in terms of simple mathematics the gold price - to make the dollar convertible again, would have to be the aforesaid $52,381. And, with the U.S. money supply growing by the day this figure should probably actually be even higher already.

For those who look to a return to the gold standard as a solution to global economic ills, this is the kind of figure at which gold would need to be revalued - a gold bug's dream and financial disaster for short sellers - and which is thus, in reality, almost completely unlikely to happen.  But it does give a pointer to the real devaluation of the U.S. dollar - and other currencies too - since the Nixon removal of the direct tie.

For those who see this effective reduction in value of the U.S. dollar as an actual pointer to where the gold price is going, they may be living in cloud-cuckoo land - perhaps in the same part of the virtual world that looks for the gold:silver ratio to return to around 10:1.  Even so, like the current gold:silver ratio it does suggest that current valuations for both metals are still a long way below where they perhaps ought to be and may ultimately end up.  Yet another bullish indicator for precious metals.

原文(全)連結:

http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page33?oid=108331&sn=Detail

 


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  • nervlee
  • 好好記住這數據,就會發覺現在持有的數十盎司的黃金是無價之寶
  • 銀蠍
  • 重點不在於這些無謂的數據
    價格是隨時都在變動
    是要看價值
    我重在後面的價值
    雖然我沒有很多錢去買
    但我願意再多出一點力去想辦法買
  • nervlee
  • 富有者基本的黃金持有量應在10Kg左右,約1250萬新台幣;白銀要100Kg以上約200萬台幣,應該才能建造一個安全的財務方舟
  • 自由人
  • 近三十年來,世界各國的貨幣兌黃金普遍貶值80-90%,那未來30年呢?
  • 如有雷同   純屬巧合
  • 美元改為誠實貨幣,我們就由 [為USA打工] 改成為[產油國]與[產金國]打工 對於我們似乎差不多

    當年金銀本位的金銀 在起初也是由中南美洲搶到歐洲 再流通出去

    18世紀中國很會賺歐洲的白銀 年年出超 白銀流入  
    英國Adam Smith號稱自由貿易 其實大英帝國是憑船堅砲利打來的 西荷法都是手下敗將 殖民地都是搶來的 列強怎麼會容許真正的自由貿易
    英國為了賣止痛藥回收白銀 結果就是1840鴉片戰爭 (英國叫Commercial War)

    金銀不會自動成為誠實貨幣