MTS 王立天(Fred)的部落格

以上是Fred最經常被問到的問題。

問這種問題的人很明顯的：

1. 手上沒有黃金；

2. 不甘心沒買到低點，或者很小氣計較
（不想要多花一毛錢買進），
或者很貪心（想要以最少的錢買到最多的黃金）；

3.  總算開始瞭解到需要進場持有黃金的迫切性；而且

4.  這種人還陷在「買賣賺價差」，
   也就是「資本利得」的迷思中，
   才會問出這種問題出來。

就如本新聞所說：

投資領域沒有絕對百分百的事情，

什麼事情都有可能發生。

你只能問自己：

考量充不充分而已。

金價或許有大幅拉回的可能，

那也是手上持有者大幅加碼的好時機

（也就是Fred在財物救生筏課程當中

說自己會「梭了」”show hand”的時機）。

Fred看多了，

那些遲遲不敢進場的人們，

也就是到現在手上仍然沒有黃金的人們，

就算金價大幅拉回，

他們到時候仍然耽溺於害怕的心裡，

會認為「黃金多頭已經玩完了」

一樣因為「恐懼」「害怕犯錯」

而再次錯失進場持有的機會。

馬克法伯說金價不貴

末日博士仍然看多金幣金條

Sept. 17, 2010, 11:43 a.m. EDT

Marc Faber says gold prices

notexpensive

Dr. Doom still bullish on gold bullion

n 黃金於上週五(9/17)再次刷新最高紀錄。

n 末日博士馬克法伯在香港CLSA投資者大會
公開說：根據全球通貨發行機構讓鈔票貶弱
的速度看來，這樣的金價仍然不算什麼，
也不認為已經泡沫化了。

n 他也強調金價或許會有急速拉回，
也有可能一天之內跌掉20%至30%也說不定。

n 他也特別強調1970黃金大多頭的年代中，
在黃金漲到每盎司$800美元前夕，
曾看到金價大跌50%，每盎司從$195跌至$105。

n 他也警告大眾不要在美國和瑞士持有實體黃金，
因為這幾個國家的政府很可能會強迫民眾
將黃金賣給政府。

n 將實體黃金儲放在香港或新加坡等國
相對比較安全，因為這些國家受中國的
影響較深，通常會抗拒美國政策的任意擺佈。

By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) – Gold’s rise to a fresh record Friday won endorsement from financial advisor Marc Faber, who said the rally in bullion prices didn’t appear excessive in view of the inflationary backdrop and ongoing bias of the world’s monetary authorities towards weak currencies.

Faber, known as Dr. Doom for his bearish call on U.S. stocks shortly before the crash of October 1987, said he would continue to be a buyer of bullion at current levels.

“Given all the unfunded liabilities and the money printing in the world and the size of the financial assets in the world, I don’t think we are in a bubble,” Faber told a CLSA Investors’ Forum 2010 in Hong Kong.

Reuters

Gold /quotes/comstock/21e!f:gc\z10 (GCZ10 1,282, +4.20, +0.33%) for December delivery rose $4.10, or 0.3%, to $1,277.90 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange Friday, on track for a new record high. In electronic trading ahead of New York trading, it hit $1,284.40 an ounce.

Faber advised investors to build exposure to bullion via monthly purchases and avoid sinking too large a share of their total wealth into the metal, as violent pullbacks can be expected.

“We can have one day a correction of 20 to 30%,” Faber said.

He noted the 1970s bull market in gold saw prices plunge 50%,from $195 to $105 an ounce, before then rising to more than $800 an ounce.

Faber cautioned physical gold holding in the U.S. and Switzerland were subject to the possibility — considered remote by mainstream observers — of forced sales to the government. Precious metals investments held in the Hong Kong or Singapore banks were safer, as these jurisdictions, influenced by China, were likely to resist U.S. political pressure on individual investors, Faber said.

原文（全）連結：

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dr-doom-still-bullish-on-gold-2010-09-17