一些與美國國運相關的新聞:

先搶美元的 去半條命

更新日期:2010/12/15 10:06 記者羅兩莎/台北報導

美元暴跌、台幣狂飆,美元投資人面臨層層套牢困境,「台幣升不停,大家都攤死在地上,很多人都沒錢再進場攤平成本了。」

近一個月台幣兌美元累計飆升近一元,一度吸引偏好美元投資人瘋狂搶美元;豈料台幣一路飆、投資人一路買,也一路套,外匯銀行主管說:「之前進來搶美元的人,如今都搶錯了。」

台幣自九月初告別三十二元,迄今暴漲逾二元,升幅逾百分之七,「外幣投資人也嘗到股票跌停板的痛苦」。某大銀行主管建議,美元長線趨貶,「外幣投資還是要分散風險」。一年來,包括台灣、中國等全球央行都在分散風險、調整美元比重,「連央行都不要美元了,投資人當然要更小心」。

美元何時結束下跌頹勢?外幣投資專家說,美國復甦訊號出現前,投資人可考慮趁澳、紐、加及南非幣等商品及高息貨幣急跌時切入。專家說,民眾若有觀光等實質需求,可在台幣升至二十九點五附近,適度「撿一點」美元;「但整體看,明年美元偏弱。」

 

彭博資訊

花旗集團:2011年國債崩跌時

美元可能再跌11%

Bloomberg

Dollar May Drop 11% in 2011 as Treasuries Fall, Citigroup Says

December 15, 2010, 12:24 PM EST

n   目前狀況和1970年代、1993時,相似的令人無法置信。美元明年和歐元相對來比較,可能會低個11%

n   目前美國所有資產的空頭市場都是因為債券表現的關係,而債券市場與房市有相當的關連性。

n   目前新屋申請數量再次創下次於2009年四月份新低量

By Catarina Saraiva

Dec. 15 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar may drop 11 percent versus the euro next year as investors shun U.S. assets and drive bonds lower, according to Citigroup Inc.

“It’s a bearish U.S. asset dynamic led by the bond market,” Tom Fitzpatrick, chief technical analyst, said in a telephone interview. “This period has a set-up that is amazingly like what we saw in the ‘70s, and is similar to what we saw around 1993.”

The dollar will follow trading patterns from the 1970s, when the housing market experienced a decline similar to the recent drop, and the 1990s, which also saw a slump in the bond market, technical analysts led by New York-based Fitzpatrick wrote in a note to clients. U.S. two-year yields doubled from a low of 3.7 percent in September 1993 to a high of 7.7 percent in December of 1994, pushing bond prices lower.

The housing industry has remained near the depths reached during the recession. Housing starts fell to a 519,000 annual rate in October, the fewest since a record low reached in April 2009.

The euro has dropped this year as member nations struggle to finance budget deficits and contain a struggling banking sector. Greece and Ireland have both tapped into a near-$1 trillion rescue fund set up by the European Union with backing from the International Monetary Fund.

原文(全)連結:

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-12-15/dollar-may-drop-11-in-2011-as-treasuries-fall-citigroup-says.html

 

各國中央銀行是拋售美國公債的罪魁禍首

Foreign Central Banks Net Sellers Of US Agency Debt

Posted: Sep 23 2010     By: Dan Norcini      Post Edited: September 23, 2010 at 5:52 pm

Dear Friends,

Last week I reported on the fact that the Federal Reserve data concerning the Custodial Accounts had revealed a huge sale of US Agency debt of some $57 billion, the single largest one-week sale of such debt on record. The amount was so colossal, that I wondered if it might have been a clerical error and would be corrected on the next week’s report. Well, guess what? It wasn’t an error.

While this week’s report did not show any such stunning developments, it did reveal that once again, as is becoming a trend now, Foreign Central Banks were net sellers of US Agency debt. This week they sold a mere $3.5 billion of it but they did sell and that is what is important to note.

Please see the chart below for a look at their holdings of agency debt and note the trend which has been in a downward direction for the most part since the credit crisis erupted in the summer of 2008. For a brief period, (Feb 2010 – August 2010) they were repurchasing agency debt but with last week’s huge sale, that has come to an abrupt end.

I will continue to monitor and report on this as it will carry important implications for us all. If the US cannot sell this type of debt to foreign central banks, then the only alternative is for the Fed to print fresh money and buy that debt itself. Call it whatever you want – monetizing debt, QEII, etc., it still amounts to the same thing – a suicidal debasement of the currency – which is bullish for gold.

原文(全)連結:

http://jsmineset.com/2010/09/23/foreign-central-banks-net-sellers-of-us-agency-debt/

 

亞桑傑獲釋 誓續爆料證清白

更新日期:2010/12/17 06:05 林治平

(法新社倫敦16日電) 維基解密(WikiLeaks)網站創辦人亞桑傑(Julian Assange)今天獲倫敦法院准許交保,重獲自由,他誓言將洗刷被控性侵罪名,爭取恢復清白,也將繼續他在這個爆料網站的工作。

  亞桑傑獲釋後,被媒體大軍堵在倫敦高等法院門口,他在台階上表示:「我希望持續我的工作,並繼續提出申辯,證明我的清白,我們取得有關這些指控的證據後將會公開,但目前尚未取得。」

39歲的亞桑傑是澳洲人,他被控在瑞典性侵2名女性,瑞典當局要求英國允許引渡他前往接受偵訊,但他和律師堅稱,這些動作是出於政治動機。

  維基解密網站最近公布數千件美國機密外交電文,震動華府。

亞桑傑步出法院後,閃光燈此起彼落,他表示,感謝「全世界所有對我有信心的人,他們在我不在時支持我的團隊」。

他又說,在倫敦的監獄遭羈押9天後,法院終於准許他交保釋放,他認為英國的司法制度已經證明,「即使結果未必總是公正,至少司法制度還沒死亡」。

他表示,他在監獄遭到單獨監禁度過的時間,有助他思考全球遭拘押人士的處境。他說:「那些人也需要大家的關注和支持。」

瑞典政府的代表律師針對下級法院允許亞桑傑交保提出抗告,希望讓他留在牢裡,等待引渡,但今天遭高等法院法官駁回。

不過,拖了幾個小時後,亞桑傑才獲得釋放,顯然是為了保釋條件討價還價。保釋金額達24萬英鎊(逾37美元),全靠亞桑傑的支持者捐輸,其中包括美國名導演麥可摩爾(Michael Moore)。

亞桑傑交保後將住在朋友位於英格蘭東部索夫克(Suffolk)的鄉間住宅,他必須定時向警方報到,並且戴上電子標籤和遵守宵禁規定。有關引渡他的聽審庭將於明年舉行。(譯者:中央社林治平)

 

美國政府憑什麼審判澳洲公民?

美國為什麼不檢討自己的外交政策

與其在中東、中亞軍事行動?

為什麼不懲處虐待犯人的美軍?

為什麼不檢討自己情報疏漏之處?

(該國每年保密經費高達800億美元)

 

反而責怪「刊登」別人所提供的資料

的維機解密網站負責人?(想當然是殺雞敬猴了)

當世界各國所有報社雜誌都在挖獨家麻辣新聞時,

維機解密只不過是說:

「你們任何想要爆政府料的,

通通可以送到我的網站上頭」

為什麼有這種差別待遇?

這些資訊又不是他以不正當手法偷來的,

完全是別人無償自願提供的。

 

而且維機解密所提供的資料

目前尚未造成任何人的死亡。

維機解密並非在戰時提供敵營寶貴的資訊,

完全都在事後檢討揭發歷史的真相。

因此揭露了美國政府

許多的謊言與隱瞞事實的真相!

維機解密所提供的資料證明,

阿蓋達組織在911發生之前根本不存在,

因此美國出兵中亞師出無名!

亦即美國向恐怖份子宣戰的理由,

根本是美國自己編出來的,

好出兵控制中亞石油輸送管道,

並在當地興建軍事基地…

這種惡劣行徑卻造成了美國百姓無數的傷亡,

兩者相較,誰才是惡人?

難怪美國政府和國王們坐立難安!

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