中國人不再拼命想出口賺美國人的錢            NEW9.gif

他們現在開始聚焦於大陸的白領階級

美國人工廠外移,失業率增加;

現在中國不再以出口美國為導向,

(因為拿實質物資換回來的

是完全不具有擔保價值的美元紙鈔,

也就是俗稱的外匯;

或者拿回來的是原本最安穩,

但現在已經岌岌可危的美國債券)

因此美國人民在找不到工作的情況下,

將會面臨物價迅速上漲的危機

(沒有人想要賣給美國東西,

因此物資缺乏,

再加上於美國本土上生產時,

成本自然會昂貴許多)

 

在這種情形下,

美國政府是由美國人民養的,

在稅源大幅下降之後,為了自身的生存

想必就是增稅、賣公債、以及加印鈔票

這些手段而已。

 

全球手上握有美元的國家、機構與人民,

根本就是在害怕一脫手賣就把美元打死

(就如同股市下跌時,當大家都想把手上的股票賣掉時

會加速股價下跌,使得自己的損失更大)

要不然早就把美元拋售得一乾二淨了。

這就是為什麼各國拼命加速在用這些廢鈔

買進各種實質資產(不動產、石油、黃金、公司行號等)

造成各種市場物資續漲。

 

但是有投資觀念的都知道,

這種漲勢並非由供給面與經濟好轉來推動的

是「虛虛的漲」

到時候反轉時,

就會非常迅速(完全沒有支撐)

好比體質不好的人生了一場大病時,

雖然停止發燒,暫時止咳了

但是只要一個不小心感染著涼,

就會變得非常嚴重,

很可能要送急診。

Fred個人認為美元現在送急診也來不及了) 


中國三月「入超」創新高

中國人不再拼命想出口賺美國人的錢

他們現在開始聚焦於大陸的白領階級

Stunner: China Set To Announce Record Trade DEFICIT In March

Say goodbye to China's "export economy" paradigm. In a stunning development for trade hawks, and pretty much anyone who follows the biggest liquidity bubble in history, China Daily has announced China is about to announce a record trade deficit (yes, not surplus, deficit) for March. This makes the whole CNY undervaluation debate pretty much moot, as even China now moves into the ranks of net importers. From China's official daily newspaper: "The country will probably see a "record trade deficit" in March thanks to surging imports" and "will "fight back" if Washington labels China a currency manipulator." Perhaps this finally explains where all the excess liquidity has gone: with China now not exporting to the US consumer, it has instead refocused on its own "middle" class. This means that Chinese administrators are much more focused on maintaining a stable economy, and will be much more concerned about economic overheating, which goes in line with the recent indications of material liquidity tightening out of Beijing. Market News reports that the actual deficit will come in at $8 billion for March, the first deficit since April 2004, when the gap was $2.26 billion. Maybe Albert Edwards will just have the last laugh with his iconoclastic prediction of a CNY devaluation.


原文(全)連結:

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/stunner-china-set-announce-record-trade-deficit-march

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