Fred不喜歡這句話,                            

但是真的是忍不住要說:

「早就跟你們說過了…」

歐元投資人找避風港

金價上看1500美元

更新日期:2010/04/30 04:11

〔編譯盧永山/綜合報導〕

 

歐洲債務危機擴大,威脅歐元區的整合,投資人拋售歐元的速度,

 

雷曼兄弟倒閉以來最快,而隨著投資人的避險需求升高,

 

今年金價每英兩上看一五○○美元(約台幣四萬七千元)。


紐約梅隆銀行表示,美國退休基金和銀行業本月拋售歐元的速度,

 

為二○○八年第二季雷曼兄弟 倒閉以來最快,

 

歐元對美元在七月中旬至十月底間暴跌超過二十五%。

 

市場對於歐元兌美元賣權相較於買權的需求,

 

週三升至二○○八年十一月以來最高。


元自一九九九年推出以來,就被視為美元的對手,

 

但開始於希臘的歐洲債務危機顯示,這個只佔歐洲經濟產值二.六%

 

的經濟 體,已撼動歐元的穩定。過去半年歐元貶值十一%,

 

為十六個主要貨幣表現最差。


加州公務員退休基金貨幣和國際債 券部門主管布塞表示:

 

「當初推動歐元區成立和歐元的假設,如今已遭到質疑和重新評估,

 

歐元區目前的情勢顯示,各國之間有差異,而且是很大的差異。」


三歐元兌美元貶至一.三一一五美元,

 

為去年四月二十八日以來最低,週四早盤小升至一.三二六八美元,

 

歐盟和IMF表示,將加速商談有關希臘的紓困方案,

 

加上德國三 失業率由八%下滑至七.八%。


但梅隆銀行首席貨 幣策略師德瑞克表示,

 

明年底歐元兌美元可能貶至一.一美元,摩根士丹利則預估,

 

年底時將貶至一.二四美元。


野村控股預估,今年投資人準備拋 售五百億歐元

 

(約台幣二.七兆元)的歐元區債券,

 

去年則為買超二二五億歐元(約台幣九.三兆元)。


鳳凰城黃金基金公司經理人克里克頓瓦特表示,

 

隨著歐洲債務危機擴大, 希臘可能破產,

 

加上投資人對歐元失去信心,今年金價上看一五○○美元。

 

克里克頓瓦特表示,除了歐洲債務危機,

 

金價也可能受益於通膨升溫。

 

年十二月黃金期貨價格曾飆漲至一二二六.五六美元

 

的歷史最高價。


瑞銀貴金屬策略師特利表示:「隨著歐洲債務危機擴大,

 

更有理由持有黃金,股 市面臨賣壓,

 

其他商品也面臨賣壓,黃金會一枝獨秀。」


週四黃金期貨價格上漲.二%至一一六八.五三美元,

 

去年金價上漲二十四%,今年以來 再漲六.四%。

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  • 馬路消息
  • Greeks Paying Over USD 1700 Per Ounce For Physical Gold

    Greeks Paying Over $1,700 Per Ounce For Physical Gold

    May 25th, 2010


    The fear running through the Greek populace is that the nation’s government may default on some of its debts.

    Since 1965, the Greek government has imposed restrictions on trading British Sovereign gold coins (gold content 0.2354 oz). Despite those restrictions, the Bank of Greece reports that it is selling an average of more than 700 coins per day to worried Greeks.

    In the first four months of 2010, the Greek central bank sold more than 50,000 sovereigns at its main downtown Athens office. Bank officials estimate that at least 100,000 other coins changed hands on the black market. The Bank of Greece has received as much as $409 per coin, which works out to a price of more than $1,700 per ounce of gold! Prices paid on the black market are reckoned to be even higher. A popular spot for street vendors to sell their coins is near the Athens Stock Exchange. There the traders wait for citizens to bring payments received from unloading their paper assets like stocks and bonds.
  • 小魚
  • 昨晚在goldsilver.com的網頁找到一則消息

    某人說黃金必須漲到每盎司36000美元

    美國才能還清它所有的債務

    當時麥可馬隆尼的影片是15000美元

    差了一倍多

    請問這判斷的根據為何?

    資料來源我們有辦法找到嗎?
  • 劉林添
  • 我來就我知道的聊聊好了.美國有8千2佰多噸黃金.約2億8千7佰多oz黃金.美國表面負債14兆美元.
    14兆美元/2億8千700 oz=48781.
    1 oz黃金=48781美元.
    但美國實際負債破佰兆美元.要是100兆/287000000 oz=348432美元.
    1 oz黃金=348432美元.
    總之黃金.白銀.有閒錢就買一些放在身邊.將來會漲到那會一直變.因為鈔票一直印.越印越多.最後.全世界錢=黃金.白銀.


  • Richard Russell
  • Sell it All, Risk of 'Major Crash': Dow Theory's Richard Russell

    May 18, 2010

    The author of the closely-watched Dow Theory Letters newsletter warned investors to get out of US stocks now in a report published Tuesday.


    Richard Russell wrote that there is a risk of a 「major crash」 if the Dow Jones Industrial Average falls below the May 7 closing price of 10,380.43, according to several media reports.



    "If I read the stock market correctly, it's telling me that there is a surprise ahead," Russell wrote. "And that surprise will be a reversal to the downside for the economy, plus a collection of other troubles ahead."



    "Do your friends a favor. Tell them to 「batten down the hatches」 because there』s a hard rain coming," Russell warned.





    "Tell them to get out of debt and sell anything they can sell in order to get liquid.


    Tell them that Richard Russell says that by the end of this year they won』t recognize the country. They』ll retort, 『How the dickens does Russell know—who told him?』 Tell them the stock market told him."

    Russell said he has seen problems with the Dow since April



    "If business is even better than expected, then why is the Dow down over 600 points?"