黃金即將在本週五噴出?!

(精彩評論錄音檔 詳如內文!!)

在演講中場休息時,
許多人會來問我:「黃金是不是漲高了?
我再強調一次:
黃金根本沒有「
」過,
因為大眾都沒開始「
追價」。

黃金這八年來之所以會不斷的創歷史新高,
是因為什麼?

就是因為全球政府都在偷偷增加鈔票的發行量。

  
證據就是:「最近幾年
所有的資產都在漲價」。
若鈔票數量一定,
當加權指數上漲時,由於資金大量移往股市
造成所謂的「
資金排擠效應」,
因此黃金、不動產等都不容易上漲。

但是現在,尤其是2009今年,
不動產、股市、黃金、原油…等,
從春天至今都「
同時在漲」!
只要美國增加通貨發行量,
所以以美國為出口大宗的國家
(台灣、大陸、日本、韓國等所有泛亞洲國家皆然)
也都得跟著加印自己國家的鈔票
(原因Fred會在的「
迷你講座」中詳加說明)。


政府加印鈔票跟你我有什麼關係?

沒錯,我們都分不到這些多印的鈔票,
但是這些新鈔會「
稀釋」我們皮夾皮包裡
「四個小孩」的價值(越來越薄),
任何擁有鈔票的人,
都得分攤政府多印鈔票的貶值損失(
通貨膨脹)。

換句話說,
「通貨膨脹」就是政府向人民課徵的一種「隱含稅率」
一般民眾感覺得到自己財產在縮水,
但是不瞭解到底是什麼原因。
就好像在一艘滲水不斷下沈的船上,
但是就是找不到漏水的源頭。
這是因為一般人沒有受過正確的「
財商教育」,
本身「
財務智商」不夠的原因。
(如何增加財務智商,請多聽聽富爸爸羅伯特‧清崎最近的消息)

美元從今年三月至今已經貶值了16%,
HELLO!!醒醒吧!
這表示美國政府像全世界使用美元的人類身上,
課徵了16%的「使用美元的特別稅」!!!
加上自己的國家也在加印鈔票,
所以今年大家早就繳交超過20%的所得稅

對不起,我說錯了,
各國政府染指的還不光是你這幾個月的「新所得」而已,
就連你原本在銀行裡的老本、退休金,
也都被政府「抽頭」20%

所以聰明的錢早就進駐實體黃金 
來避免政府向他索取這種「看不見的稅」。

請注意:富爸爸教我唯有「實體黃金」才有用,
所以市面上許多
「紙上黃金」是沒有用的。
(這些道理Fred會在的「迷你講座」中加以補)。

gif057.gif 加入格友俱樂部獲取通關密語 即可免費收聽"線上迷你講座"


Gold Blast-Off Starts Friday?

By Patrick A. Heller  October 27, 2009

There are two significant events this week that could exert pressure for higher gold prices. Because of this, I expect to see major behind-the-scenes actions to try to suppress gold (and silver) prices until the middle of Thursday afternoon.

First, the U.S. government’s Treasury debt auctions will sell the greatest amount of debt ever sold in one week. The net debt increase of $153 billion is so high it will exceed the current authorized federal debt limit. Flooding the financial markets with so much debt is a sign of weakness for the U.S. dollar. As the dollars declines in value, the price of gold in U.S. dollars invariably rises.

Second, we will also see the expiration of options contracts in two days. If the spot price at the close of trading on the day that gold (and silver) options contracts expire is higher than the contract price on a call option, the owner will exercise the option to demand immediate delivery of physical gold. The higher the price of gold, the more call options that will be exercised. Conversely, a lower gold spot price will reduce the demand for gold for immediate delivery. There is a major block of call options at $1,050, so expect prices to stay below that level through Wednesday night.


原文(全)連結:

http://www.numismaster.com/ta/numis/Article.jsp?ad=article&ArticleId=8134

 

As we have seen previously in 2009 with large Treasury debt auctions and options expirations, the price of gold was clobbered before these events, and not allowed to rise quickly until after the last Treasury auction closed on Thursday afternoon. I see no reason to expect a different pattern this week.

H.R. 1207, the bill in Congress calling for an audit of the Federal Reserve System (that would also likely result in an audit of the U.S. government’s gold holdings) is under current consideration in the House Financial Services Committee. Hearings began last month. With over 330 co-sponsors of this bill and of the Senate’s companion bill S. 604 (over 75 percent of all members of Congress), there would be reasonable prospects of enactment.

A couple of months ago, the Fed hired a government-relations lobbyist to combat H.R.1207. Various Fed officials have tried to intimidate Congress and the public by stating that enactment of this legislation would result in higher interest rates, higher consumer prices and a falling value of the U.S. dollar. None of these threats seemed to have stopped H.R. 1207 from moving along.

On Oct. 20, a new tactic to combat H.R. 1207 was implemented. Senators Jeff Merkley, D-Ore., and Bob Corker R-Tenn., introduced S. 1803, the Federal Reserve Accountability Act. This alternative bill pretty much guts any attempt at Federal Reserve accountability by allowing only limited audits of the Troubled Asset Relief Program and similar high profile bailouts. I expect to see Fed officials pushing for this bill as a way to sidetrack H.R. 1207.

Last Friday, Bloomberg reported an interview with Shayne McGuire, director of global research at the Teacher Retirement System of Texas, the nation’s seventh largest pension fund. McGuire noted that his retirement fund has now invested $250 million of its $95 billion in total assets in precious metals, mining stocks, and exchange traded funds. McGuire further predicted that pension funds were going to have to significantly increase the percentage of their portfolios devoted to precious metals.

Also last Friday, Dennis Gartman, the analyst who writes the Gartman Letter, said that he expects gold to become the world’s largest reserve currency. Gartman is not fan of gold and rejects any possibility that the price of gold has been suppressed. His gold trading recommendations over the past five to 10 years have almost always lost money. There are gold traders who have made profits by trading the opposite of Gartman’s recommendations.

Analyst Adrian Douglas is publisher of the Market Force Analysis and now serves as a member of the board of directors of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee. He issued an essay Saturday where he argues that the volume of gold traded on the London bullion exchange could not be supported by the reported sales of 15,000 tons (482 million ounces). By Douglas’s calculations, the London market needed a minimum of 64,000 tons (2.05 billion ounces) of gold to be sold to support its reported trading volume. He believes that any disclosure that this much extra gold has been sneaked onto the market, leaving less inventory available to cover open contracts in London, could cause a panic in the gold market.

Bill Murphy is the chairman of GATA. He reported late last week the latest scoop from a London trader who has been his source of secret information since the early years of this decade. This source has an extremely accurate record on trends. For instance, he was the first to tell Murphy that it looked like the Chinese government was regularly buying gold reserves, including information on quantities, back in 2003. This same source says he has recently added two American clients, one a very wealthy individual and the other a large corporation, with instructions to execute major physical gold purchases. His source told Murphy that he is having extreme difficulty locating any sizeable quantities of physical metal to fill the orders.

There has been little new reported about the rumors of counterfeit gold bars which are actually gold-plated tungsten. One Chinese company has a Web site (www.tungsten-alloy.com) where it offers to provide tungsten as a gold substitute. On the first page of its Web site, just below a picture of gold ingots, it states, “Also, it is widely adopted in making faking coins . . .” To the extent that counterfeit 100- and 400-ounce gold bars exist, this company almost certainly could fabricate them.

In the meantime, I have heard rumors that all gold bars at the central banks in France and China are being checked for counterfeits. Central banks would have a strong desire to keep such stories from becoming public knowledge, even if no counterfeits were uncovered. If, however, the public got a whiff that one or more major central banks were holding counterfeit gold bars, that could spark a gold-buying panic.

In the summer, I warned that the commercial real estate market would be hard hit in the fall. On Oct. 26, Capmark, one of America’s largest commercial real estate lenders, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization. Expect more bad news from this sector in the coming months.

Russia’s central bank has been an aggressive buyer of gold for some time. Late last week a story appeared that a state-owned Russian enterprise might be selling up to 45 tons of gold. If you read the details, you learn that the sale may be as small as two tons. This story is baffling analysts as the Russian central bank could almost certainly snap up the entire amount being offered for sale.

In only one month in the past three years has the Russian central bank reduced its gold reserves. About the only thought that makes sense of this story is that the Russians are astute traders. If everyone thinks the Russians are selling instead of buying, that could knock down the price of the gold to the Russian central bank after this story breaks.

Following the anticipated price dip during the first few days this week, expect the current bull market in gold to come roaring back.



Patrick A. Heller owns Liberty Coin Service in Lansing, Mich., and writes Liberty’s Outlook, the company’s monthly newsletter on rare coins and precious metals subjects. Past newsletter issues can be viewed at http://www.libertycoinservice.com. Other commentaries are available at Financial Sense University (www.financialsense.com). His periodic radio interviews on WILS-1320 AM can be heard at http://www.amlansing.com, on the Korelin Economic Report at http://www.kereport.com, and on Coin Chat Radio at www.coinchatradio.com.

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