房利美、房地美再度警告大眾: 

公司持續連番虧損

這會引爆全美法拍屋風暴,

正式將全球帶入下一個階段的金融風暴之中。

(也就是颱風眼快要過去了的徵兆)

 

準備迎接兩位數字的房貸利率,

以及連番下跌的不動產價格…

 

Fannie, Freddie warn on losses

By NICK TIMIRAOS

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, already reeling in red ink, are warning they could face additional losses from the weakening condition of mortgage-insurance companies.

Fannie and Freddie together have required capital injections from the Treasury of $112 billion since the government took them over through conservatorship last year. Their need for government support would have been greater without collecting on claims from mortgage-insurance companies.

原文(全)連結:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB30001424052748703811604574529852446467232.html

 

美住都部長:

房市復甦「極可能」不會持續

更新日期:2009/11/13 01:37

(中央社台北13日綜合外電報導)美國住宅暨都市發展部長杜諾文 (Shaun Donovan)說,美國房屋市場的復甦「極可能」不會持續。

「我們處於極度異常的經濟時期,一年前的推斷證明是個大錯誤,目前所見還會有許多波動,」杜諾文今天在華府的一項記者會上這麼表示。「坦白講,前景不明。」


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  • 冬眠者
  • Dubai 骨牌

    第一張骨牌 Dubai default fears rock markets. - Telegraph
  • 旱鴨子
  • 超級強烈颱風警報

    The Right Reform for the FED -by Ben Bernanke at Washington Post on 2009-11- 29
    For many Americans, the financial crisis, and the recession it spawned, have been devastating -- jobs, homes, savings lost. Understandably, many people are calling for change. Yet change needs to be about creating a system that works better, not just differently. As a nation, our challenge is to design a system of financial oversight that will embody the lessons of the past two years and provide a robust framework for preventing future crises and the economic damage they cause.

    These matters are complex, and Congress is still in the midst of considering how best to reform financial regulation. I am concerned, however, that a number of the legislative proposals being circulated would significantly reduce the capacity of the Federal Reserve to perform its core functions. Notably, some leading proposals in the Senate would strip the Fed of all its bank regulatory powers. And a House committee recently voted to repeal a 1978 provision that was intended to protect monetary policy from short-term political influence. These measures are very much out of step with the global consensus on the appropriate role of central banks, and they would seriously impair the prospects for economic and financial stability in the United States. The Fed played a major part in arresting the crisis, and we should be seeking to preserve, not degrade, the institution's ability to foster financial stability and to promote economic recovery without inflation.

    The proposed measures are at least in part the product of public anger over the financial crisis and the government's response, particularly the rescues of some individual financial firms. The government's actions to avoid financial collapse last fall -- as distasteful and unfair as some undoubtedly were -- were unfortunately necessary to prevent a global economic catastrophe that could have rivaled the Great Depression in length and severity, with profound consequences for our economy and society. (I know something about this, having spent my career prior to public service studying these issues.) My colleagues at the Federal Reserve and I were determined not to allow that to happen.

    Moreover, looking to the future, we strongly support measures -- including the development of a special bankruptcy regime for financial firms whose disorderly failure would threaten the integrity of the financial system -- to ensure that ad hoc interventions of the type we were forced to use last fall never happen again. Adopting such a resolution regime, together with tougher oversight of large, complex financial firms, would make clear that no institution is "too big to fail" -- while ensuring that the costs of failure are borne by owners, managers, creditors and the financial services industry, not by taxpayers.

    The Federal Reserve, like other regulators around the world, did not do all that it could have to constrain excessive risk-taking in the financial sector in the period leading up to the crisis. We have extensively reviewed our performance and moved aggressively to fix the problems.

    Working with other agencies, we have toughened our rules and oversight. We will be requiring banks to hold more capital and liquidity and to structure compensation packages in ways that limit excessive risk-taking. We are taking more explicit account of risks to the financial system as a whole.

    We are also supplementing bank examination staffs with teams of economists, financial market specialists and other experts. This combination of expertise, a unique strength of the Fed, helped bring credibility and clarity to the "stress tests" of the banking system conducted in the spring. These tests were led by the Fed and marked a turning point in public confidence in the banking system.

    There is a strong case for a continued role for the Federal Reserve in bank supervision. Because of our role in making monetary policy, the Fed brings unparalleled economic and financial expertise to its oversight of banks, as demonstrated by the success of the stress tests.

    This expertise is essential for supervising highly complex financial firms and for analyzing the interactions among key firms and markets. Our supervision is also informed by the grass-roots perspective derived from the Fed's unique regional structure and our experience in supervising community banks. At the same time, our ability to make effective monetary policy and to promote financial stability depends vitally on the information, expertise and authorities we gain as bank supervisors, as demonstrated in episodes such as the 1987 stock market crash and the financial disruptions of Sept. 11, 2001, as well as by the crisis of the past two years.

    Of course, the ultimate goal of all our efforts is to restore and sustain economic prosperity. To support economic growth, the Fed has cut interest rates aggressively and provided further stimulus through lending and asset-purchase programs. Our ability to take such actions without engendering sharp increases in inflation depends heavily on our credibility and independence from short-term political pressures. Many studies have shown that countries whose central banks make monetary policy independently of such political influence have better economic performance, including lower inflation and interest rates.

    Independent does not mean unaccountable. In its making of monetary policy, the Fed is highly transparent, providing detailed minutes of policy meetings and regular testimony before Congress, among other information. Our financial statements are public and audited by an outside accounting firm; we publish our balance sheet weekly; and we provide monthly reports with extensive information on all the temporary lending facilities developed during the crisis. Congress, through the Government Accountability Office, can and does audit all parts of our operations except for the monetary policy deliberations and actions covered by the 1978 exemption. The general repeal of that exemption would serve only to increase the perceived influence of Congress on monetary policy decisions, which would undermine the confidence the public and the markets have in the Fed to act in the long-term economic interest of the nation.

    We have come a long way in our battle against the financial and economic crisis, but there is a long way to go. Now more than ever, America needs a strong, nonpolitical and independent central bank with the tools to promote financial stability and to help steer our economy to recovery without inflation.

    The writer is chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
  • 小鄭
  • 感謝旱鴨子格友的分享

    感謝旱鴨子格友的分享, 這篇文章在堅守 Fed 所謂的"獨立性"和"不可侵犯性"
    Ben Bernanke 再怎麼澄清 Fed 是如何的透明, 對於美國政策的穩定是多麼重要
    永遠都像是老王賣瓜, 很難令人信服.
    近日Bernanke也在 CNNMoney 有篇報導" Don't tamper with the Fed" 在談類似的事情
    昨日威辰格友所分享的影片中, 宋鴻兵提到一點我很喜歡, 宋先生文中的大意是" Fed 是私有制, 那他把股權釋放出來給一般民眾嘛, 這樣子才能夠真正的消滅經濟學理論中, principal-agency 的問題."
    國內所販售的基金所存在的最大問題在於制度面: 基金經理人是領基金公司的薪水, 而薪水的高低取決於公司股東會, 董事會, 而基金購買者並不是公司的股東, 只是基金單位數的擁有者, 那你認為基金經理人會幫投資人賺錢還是為公司賺錢? 當然是儘可能的從投資人身上剝削, 為公司的股東賺錢, 自己才有更高的 pay!!
  • LKK
  • 唱雙簧

    唱雙簧 : <貨幣戰爭>的說法.
    Ben Bernanke 扮壞人, Ron Paul 扮好人,其實都只是國王的二張牌.